AI consulting for finance | UK financial services firms

by Dr. Phil Winder , CEO

AI consulting for finance helps UK lenders, insurers and fintechs find the decisions they make at volume where a model would decide better, such as who to lend to, which payment to stop or what to charge, then build those models and run them under Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) rules. Winder.AI is an engineering-led AI consultancy, independent since 2013. In 2023 we took a reinforcement learning system for a UK financial institution from proof of concept onto live customer traffic, and audited the machine learning operations of a UK car-finance lender.

Where AI changes a finance decision

Each decision below is one a firm makes thousands of times, and each has a failure that shows up before the model’s accuracy does.

DecisionWhat we buildWhat goes wrong first
Lending and creditCredit risk and affordability models, with their monitoringThe training data holds outcomes only for applicants the old process approved, so the model has to be checked on the applicants it would now accept
Fraud and financial crimeTransaction scoring and anomaly detectionConfirmed fraud labels arrive weeks later, when chargebacks and investigations close, so monitoring has to work before the labels do
PricingPricing and propensity models for loans and insuranceConsumer Duty asks whether each product gives fair value, so every price segment needs a reason the firm can show
Collections and customer operationsReinforcement learning (RL) and decision models for sequences of contactsEach contact’s result shows weeks or months later, which suits RL, because a model trained one decision at a time optimises only the next step
Forecasting for finance teamsCash, demand and loss forecastsA model trained before a change in interest rates keeps forecasting the old conditions until it is retrained

The UK rules a finance model has to satisfy

The PRA’s supervisory statement on model risk management, SS1/23, was published on 17 May 2023 and took effect on 17 May 2024. It applies to UK-incorporated banks, building societies and PRA-designated investment firms with internal model approval for regulatory capital, and it covers any model that informs a business decision, machine learning included. Its five principles run from model identification and risk classification through governance, development and use, and independent validation to risk mitigants. We write each model’s documentation and test evidence for the firm’s validators while we build it.

The FCA’s Consumer Duty came into force on 31 July 2023 for open products and 31 July 2024 for closed ones. Its rules in PRIN 2A.9 require firms to monitor the outcomes retail customers receive, and to check whether any group of customers gets different outcomes from another. A credit, pricing or collections model therefore needs outcome monitoring by customer group from the day it goes live, and we build that monitoring with the model.

Steps in a finance engagement

The work follows one decision from its data to a model in production:

  1. Decision review. We pick the decision, list the data behind it, and agree what the model will be judged on, including the measures risk and compliance will ask for.
  2. Prototype on historical data. We build against past decisions and their outcomes, and write the validation evidence as we go.
  3. Production on live traffic. The model goes live behind controls the firm agrees, with monitoring for drift and for outcomes by customer group.
  4. Handover or retainer. Your team runs it, or we stay on to retrain and extend it.

A firm that already runs models can start smaller, with an audit of how those models are built, deployed and checked, which ends in a prioritised plan.

UK financial services case studies

For a UK financial institution, we helped the data science team take a reinforcement learning proof of concept into production. The aim was to automate part of the customer lifecycle that had needed the attention of tens of people. We designed the simulated environment the agent trained in, the reward functions and the training approach, and the system went live on customer traffic for evaluation in 2023.

For a UK car-finance lender, we audited the processes around its machine learning development and deployment in 2023. We interviewed its developers, stakeholders, risk assessors and executives, scored their practice against a framework built for the lender, and wrote a report on the current state, the risks and opportunities, and a prioritised plan.

Tractable, a UK insurance technology company working in motor insurance, brought us in for remote MLOps coaching, which we published as a case study in 2023. The sessions picked out feature stores and model registries as the changes with the highest return for its machine learning work.

Cost

Our pricing page publishes indicative rates of £150 to £300 an hour on time and materials, drawn from real projects, and we quote each engagement on its scope. The same page lists an MLOps analysis-and-design engagement that took about two months on a fixed cost.

Who this is for

The work suits UK banks, building societies, lenders, insurers, payments firms and fintechs with a decision they make thousands of times, and finance teams that need better forecasts. If a vendor’s credit, fraud or document product already fits the problem, we will say so on the first call.

Other finance work

For agents that act in research, KYC, operations and reconciliation workflows, see custom AI agents for finance. For loan packs, KYC files, statements and regulatory filings, see document automation for financial services. London firms can start from AI consultancy in London.

Talk to us about your finance project.

Frequently asked questions

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